Yuav ua li cas yog ib cov xim kiv puag ncig?

Rau yav dhau los kaum xyoo nyob rau hauv cov nom tswv lub neej txhua hnub rooted nws yog xws li ib tug tshaj plaws raws li ib tug xim kiv puag ncig. Yuav ua li cas yog nws? Yuav ua li cas li no hauv daim ntawv ntawm tawm tsam? Yuav ua li cas yog nws manifested? Leej twg yog pab nyiaj txiag nws, npaj thiab inspires? Cia wb mus thawj tej yam uas ua ntej.

Niaj hnub no, nyob rau hauv cov xim revolutions coj mus hais serial riots thiab tawm tsam ntawm cov pej xeem ntawm ib lub teb chaws, uas yog nqa tawm nrog kev pab los ntawm txawv teb chaws NGOs. Feem ntau tej yam ua raug nyob rau hauv ib tug kev hloov ntawm cov nom tswv tsoom fwv, tab sis tsis muaj tub rog kev koom tes. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm muaj ib tug hloov, thiab qhov kev txiav txim cov neeg tseem ceeb.

Remotely praobrazom xim revolutions tej zaum yuav hu ua lub Iranian coup ntawm 1953, thaum raws li ib tug tshwm sim ntawm tus tso cai xeev tau overthrown los ntawm Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadegh. Thaum lub tam sim no lub sij hawm muaj yog tsis muaj ib tug pom zoo, yog dab tsi cov txheej xwm yuav ntaus nqi rau cov kev kawm nyob rau hauv no tsab xov xwm, lub hom ntawm nom tswv technologies. Yog li ntawd, cov nom txoj cai yuav tsum tau dawb lias tau txais: "tsheb nrau av kiv puag ncig" (Yugoslavia, 2000), lub "Rose kiv puag ncig" (Georgia, 2003), lub "Txiv kab ntxwv kiv puag ncig" (Ukraine, 2004), lub "Tulip kiv puag ncig" (Kyrgyzstan, 2005 ). Ib txhia soj ntsuam ntawm yog sim mus saib ntxaum thiab ntaus nqi mus rau tib qeb thiab lub "Carnation kiv puag ncig" (Lisbon, 1974), uas tau nyob rau hauv hais bloodless coup thiab lub fascist dictatorship twb hloov los ntawm lub mas-kev ywj pheej system. Tab sis cov piv txwv yog tseem tsis yuav tsum tau noj rau ib cov xim kiv puag ncig, vim hais tias cov coup tau raug tsa los ntawm cov Portuguese tub rog. Tab sis lub ntsiab lam lwm xam tau tias yog tawm tsam - pej xeem neeg, thiab nyob rau hauv thawj qhov chaw - lub active txheem-minded cov hluas.

Xim kiv puag ncig: Ua

1. Lub deepest nrog ntsoog (economic thiab kev nom kev tswv) ntawm tus tshiab ywj siab lub xeev, nyob rau hauv uas lub txheej xwm coj qhov chaw.

2. unrequited siab superpower thiab tus so ntawm cov rog uas xav nyob rau hauv cov nyhuv seem thiab nyob rau hauv txhawb nws kev txaus siab.

3. Cov teeb meem nyob rau hauv lub economic teb, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv cov kev sib raug kev khwv nyiaj txiag, ua rau lub destabilization ntawm lub xeev: tus neeg txom nyem loj masses ntawm cov pejxeem, cov tsis muaj ib tug nruab nrab hauv chav kawm ntawv.

Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, raws li ib tug prerequisite rau ib cov xim kiv puag ncig thiab tseem ceeb ib qho teeb meem xws li tsoom fwv cov kev kam muab kev koom tes nrog rau lub sib xws, uas raug nqi ntau nws, thiab tej zaum kuj hluav. Allegorically yuav sawv cev rau ib tug kev hem thawj rau lub kiv puag ncig nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws raws li ib tug tib neeg tus kab mob, uas nws cov tsos mob qhia tias ib yam dab tsi nrog rau lub cev yog tsis nyob rau hauv kev txiav txim. Zoo, yog hais tias cov tej yam tshwm sim tsis them tej xim, thiab qhov kev txiav txim hwj chim ntawm tus "muaj mob" tsis kho, tab sis, theej, yuav tsav nws txawm ntxaum, qhov twg nws yuav tsim thiab kev kawm. Nyob rau ntawm ib point neprekrasny "tus kab mob" yuav ua txhaum tawm, tab sis txawm ces nws yuav nyuab npaum li cas kom tsis txhob.

Tab sis xim revolutions yuav ua tau tsis yog ib tug tsim nyog tau qhov tseeb hais tias tsis yog txhua yam yog nyob rau hauv kev txiav txim tsis pub dhau lub xeev. Tej zaum lawv yuav tsim nyog rau ib tug neeg, thiab tsis tsuas yog cov neeg uas nqa lawv tawm, tab sis kuj mus rau cov neeg uas lub koom haum,, "disburse". Feem ntau, cov neeg muaj feem muab kev nom kev tswv thiab nyiaj txiag rau cov kev tawm tsam los ntawm afar - lawv yog cov tsis nyob rau hauv txoj kev thiab squares ntawm nws tus kheej, tab sis ua tib zoo saib xyuas cov ntaub ntawv thiab cov kev ua ntawm cov neeg ua yeeb thos masses.

Xim kiv puag ncig: cov qauv

Nyob rau hauv txhua kiv puag ncig, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov nqaij daim tawv, muaj lub tsev. Conventionally, nws yuav sawv cev raws li ib tug peb-tiered pyramid. Thaum lub saum toj yog nyob 'sponsors' tawm tsam - qeb duas neeg revolutionary masses. Nws yog cov tib neeg, thiab ntau pab pawg neeg uas yog koom nyob rau hauv kev qhia ntawv, kev coj, txais thiab creation ntawm pom ntaub ntawv them nyiaj yug ntawm kev tawm tsam. Ncaj qha mus rau hauv pem teb yeej tsis ua hauj lwm, txawm nws cov cawv, tab sis tsuas yog los ntawm intermediaries, uas tso cai rau lawv mus rau "sponsors", txuag ib tug neeg tsim nyog nyob rau hauv lub qhov muag ntawm lub ntiaj teb no lub zej lub zos.

Middle tier roos direct organizers ntawm lub coup. Xim kiv puag ncig muaj feem ntau yog ib pab pawg neeg ntawm cov tub ntxhais active tib neeg lub pro-Western orientation. Nyob rau hauv pawg poob rau hauv ib tes, nyob rau hauv lub tshav pob ntawm pej xeem sib raug zoo thiab kev dag cov kws txawj (neeg sau xov xwm, kev psychologists), uas yuav pab kom tsim tau ib tug tom qab, tus revolutionary mus ob peb vas ntawm tus masses tau muaj cov heev tsis zoo lub zeem muag ntawm tus uas twb muaj tsoom fwv. Qhov thib ob qeb ntawm lub organizers - ib tug "showcase" (cov tub ntxhais politicians uas yog distinguished hais lus zoo thiab charisma).

Nyob rau hauv peb, lub sab theem thiab feem ntau heev heev - yog neeg zoo tib yam, cov neeg, uas yog tseem ceeb rau lub creation ntawm loj tawm tsam nyob rau hauv lub zos squares thiab txoj kev. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm ib co ntawm lawv yog cov revolutionaries thiaj tau tuaj rau ideological yog vim li cas, thaum lwm tus neeg yog npaj txhij hnub thiab hmo ntuj nyob rau hauv tej huab cua mus rau rallies nrog slogans thiab banners heev ib tug ntau ntawm cov nyiaj.