Iran: Hamadan puag thiab nws siv

Iranian Hamadan puag siv los ntawm Lavxias teb sab huab cua pab pawg neeg nyob rau hauv thiaj li yuav ntxiv dag zog VKS Russia nyob rau hauv lub Syrian lub xeev. Cov kos yog hnub ntawm commencement ntawm kev siv ntawm lub tshav dav hlau yog hais tias yuav Kaum ib hlis 23, 2015. Nws sij hawm tsis muaj tsev nyob ntau bombers "Tu-22M3" thiab pem hauv ntej dav hlau "Su-34."

Uas tau tso cai Russia Lub yim hli ntuj 20, 2016 Iran? puag Hamadan Kuv pib siv peb pilots nyob rau hauv ib tug tas mus li yam rau lub hom phiaj ntawm huab cua tsoo nyob rau hauv kev sib cais LIH. Tsawg tshaj li ib lub lim tiam tom qab tsov rog pib yuav tsum tau siv davhlau hauv paus, raws li Tehran tau ua raws li los ntawm ib tug hauj lwm daim ntawv qhia tias Russia siv lub airfield yuav tu tsis tseg. Cov lus no yog officially paub tseeb hais tias cov Kremlin thiab lub Lavxias teb sab Embassy nyob rau hauv Iran. Txawm hais tias daim ntawv ntawm cov Islamic koom pheej yog npaj txhij txog thiab muab tso rau mus nrog lub zog-ntaus Lavxias teb sab sab, lub teb differed restraint.

Tsis ntev Ali Laridzhani chairman ntawm Iran tus parliament tau muab ib tug refutation ntawm cov ntaub ntawv hais txog cov kev txiav ntawm cov sib ntaus, tshaj tawm Lavxias teb sab pilots mus ntxiv siv cov airbase.

Yuav tsum Hamadan?

Lavxias teb sab xov xwm tau hais ntau ntau zaus hais tias qhov no puag yog tsis tshua muaj ib qho tseem ceeb rau peb lub teb chaws. Yuav ua li cas Iran tau muab lub tshav dav hlau? Base Hamadan yooj yim zog rau cov tub rog ua hauj lwm ua nyob rau hauv Syria los ntawm cov huab cua, thiab kuj pab mus rau ib tug ntau yam kev nce ntawm lawv efficiency.

Nco qab hais tias ib tug loj Lavxias teb sab puag nyob rau hauv Mozdok ntawm 2.5 txhiab. Kis lus mev. Yog li ntawd yog dab tsi txaus nyiam puag Hamadan? VKS Russia nqa tawm los ntawm Hamadan, nyob rau hauv 800-900 kilometers ntawm lub npaj lub hom phiaj, yog li kom ntseeg tau ib tug txiav txim cov nyiaj khaws tseg nyob rau hauv roj siv cov mos txwv. Raws li ib tug tshwm sim, riam phom load nce los ntawm 4 lub sij hawm.

Uas yuav tsum tau kiag li Hamadan Lavxias teb sab puag, zoo ib yam li lub Syrian Heim nrog kev tiv thaiv thiab kev ua hauj lwm ntawm peb cov pej xeem, peb tsis txawm mus. Lub airfield tseem nyob rau hauv cov coj ntawm Iran. Nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb, nws tshwm sim tsis txawm puag thiab airfields, qhov twg Lavxias teb sab aircraft muab lub sij hawm rau chaw sam roj thiab nqa tawm me kho.

Thaum qhov kev tshuaj ntsuam ntawm lub hauv paus yog nqa tawm?

Tus thawj kuaj ntawm Hamadan twb muaj nyob rau hauv 2015, thaum ib tug Lavxias teb sab bomber "Su-34" landed ntawm lub tshav dav hlau rau kev kho. Lub dav hlau yog nyob rau hauv lub hauv paus ntawm ob hnub, thaum lub sij hawm uas tau cov ntaub ntawv kho tuaj txog technicians los ntawm Russia. Yog vim li cas yog cov xov xwm hais tias cov Lavxias teb sab cov dav hlau nqa tawm nrog lub ce Hamadan, Iran ces pog?

Uas hais txog cov Iranian Txawv Teb Chaws Ministry?

Yog vim li cas Russia thau ntawm lub hauv paus Hamadan? Tus sawv cev ntawm Iran tus Foreign Minister, nyob rau hauv nws qhov chaw nyob hais txog hais tias qhov kev pom zoo ntawm Iran thiab Russia coj qhws ib ntus.

Tsis tas li ntawd, lub diplomat nyuab siab tias tsam rau extremist pawg LIH Lavxias teb sab aircraft tauj thiaj tau tuaj nrog qhov kev tso cai ntawm Iran.

Nyuam qhuav pib, Iranian kws muaj txuj ci Minister Hossein dehgans harshly criticized Lavxias teb sab lug txhawb cov miv rau dab tsi lawv divulged pub leej twg paub cov lus qhia txog cov kev siv ntawm cov Lavxias teb sab VKS Hamadan.

rhiab qhov teeb meem

Iran thiab Russia diplomatic kev sib raug zoo ntawd kub ntev li rau ntau centuries. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm lawv yuav tsis yog yuav hu ua tej yam yooj yim. Lub Iranians, muaj ntau ntau yam neeg pab leg ntaubntawv kom peb lub teb chaws. Nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws nco qab nrees zaum resentment sau tshaj ib tug ntev lub sij hawm.

Tshaj yav dhau los xyoo pua lub Lavxias teb sab xeev muaj dua cuam tshuam nyob rau hauv lub internal affairs ntawm Persia. Kom txog rau thaum 1917, peb lub teb chaws pab tau cov txheej txheem ntawm peb lub sij hawm, thiab thaum lub sij hawm ob ntiaj teb rog, Russia nrog rau teb chaws Aas Kiv tau nqa tawm ib tug tag nrho txoj hauj lwm ntawm lub xeev. Loj neeg pab leg ntaubntawv tau sau tsis tau tsuas yog tawm tsam nws sab qaum teb neeg zej zog. Iran rau ntau xyoo nyob rau hauv lub thoob ntiaj teb kev nom kev tswv arena si lub luag hauj lwm ntawm ib tug kwv, tsis yog ib tug kawm. Lub teb chaws raug kev txom nyem ib tug ntau ntawm kev mob vim hais tias ntawm lub clashes loj powers.

Raws li ib tug tshwm sim, tom qab lub achievements ntawm tus Islamic kiv puag ncig nyob rau hauv 1979 tag nrho cov txawv teb chaws advisors los ntawm lub teb chaws raug ntiab tawm, thiab lub tsis tuaj kawm ntawv txawv teb chaws cov tub rog rog nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws ntawm ib lub xeev yog ib tug yuav tsum muaj txoj hauj lwm.

Raws li cov European University xib fwb nyob rau hauv St. Petersburg Nicholas Kozhanova nyob rau hauv Iran rau 37 xyoo nce kev tiv thaiv ntawm txawv teb chaws pab tub rog nyob rau hauv ib ncig ntawm lub teb chaws. Thiab ces, nyob rau dab tsi kauj ruam yog Iran? Base Hamadan ua ib tug qhov chaw ntawm cov txiag ntawm lub Lavxias teb sab tub rog bombers. Tehran ua ib tug tsis meej xwm kev txiav txim siab, nrog cov uas feem ntau ntawm cov pejxeem muaj ib tug heev muaj kuab lo lus nug: yuav ua li cas nrog rau cov sovereignty ntawm peb txoj cai?

Nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv no, cov tw ntawm lub xub ntiag ntawm Lavxias teb sab pab tub rog nyob rau hauv ib ncig ntawm lub teb chaws heev. Yeej, lawv koom lub Cov Qib ntawm cov reformist tis. Conservative-minded pej xeem, nyob rau hauv tsis tooj, thov txhua yam rau silence no yoj ntawm discontent. Rau lawv, pab los ntawm cov Lavxias teb sab pab tub rog nyob rau hauv Syria yog ib qho tseem ceeb.

Yuav ua li cas teb rau qhov teeb meem rau tsoom fwv thiab tib yam cov pej xeem ntawm lub xeev ntawm Iran? Base Hamadan ntev los sib tham nyob rau hauv Internet forums. Qhov no qhov teeb meem tau zoo heev mob. Board neeg tab qhia lawv dissatisfaction, commentators lossi nco ntsoov txog cov insidious txoj cai ntawm Russia, thiab cov tub ceev xwm tau sim nyeg lub raging sib cav tswv yim.

nom tswv ua si

Tensions cov neeg sawv cev ntawm lub Iranian cov tub ceev xwm yog to taub. Lub teb chaws tau lossi faib incessant nriaj ntawm lub mas-minded nom tswv cov neeg tseem ceeb, taws los ntawm Thawj Tswj Hwm Rouhani thiab lub conservative tog, ib tug ntawm cov ideological cov thawj coj uas yog cov qub thawj coj ntawm lub koom pheej, Ahmadinejad. Lub conservative Party yog txaus siab los ntawm cov neeg sawv cev ntawm lub Iranian txiv plig thiab feem ntau ntawm cov tsev nyob tub ceev xwm Revolutionary tiv thaiv.

Cov tswv cuab ntawm cov ob tiam sis muaj diametrically opposed views. Liberals ntseeg tau hais tias cov kev ua ntawm Lavxias teb sab pab tub rog nyob rau hauv Syria coj heev me ntsis txiv hmab txiv ntoo, peb lub teb chaws yuav ua li cas ntxiv. Lawv xav Russia yuav coj Tehran fleeting yeej nyob rau hauv Syria.

Raws li ib tug senior tshawb ntawm lub koom haum ntawm Oriental Studies, Lavxias teb sab Academy ntawm Sciences, xibfwb Vladimir Sazhin, lub saib yog ntseeg hais tias cov kev ua ntawm Lavxias teb sab pab tub rog nyob rau hauv Syria yog yus muaj los ntawm high efficiency. Qhov no tsam cov nom tswv txoj hauj lwm ntawm Iran, uas Syria yog lub ntiaj teb no tsuas official union xeev. Yog li ntawd, Iran qhia tau hais tias nws discontent ntawm Russia. Islamic lub xeev yog tsis heev zoo li lub strengthening ntawm txoj hauj lwm ntawm peb lub teb chaws nyob rau hauv lub Middle East cheeb tsam.

Nyob rau hauv Tej zaum 2017 nyob rau hauv Iran yuav kis tau tus thawj tswj kev xaiv tsa. Cov teeb meem uas lwm tus infrastructure xws li ib tug tub rog puag Hamadan, yog tus tseem ceeb nti nyob rau hauv ib tug tense nom tswv sib ntaus sib tua tau waged nyob rau hauv lub capital.

Raws li ib tug uas soj ntsuam ntawm lub koom haum ntawm International Security Academy Alexey Fenenko nyob rau hauv Iran yog sib ntaus sib tua ob tog, yog ib tus uas pab los ze zog ties nrog cov sab hnub poob nyob rau hauv lub cia siab hais tias nyiaj txiag nplua yuav raug rho tawm mus, thiab lwm leej lwm tus ntseeg tau hais tias tsis muaj dab tsi ntawm rapprochement yuav tsis hloov thiab yuav tsum tsim kom muaj kev sib raug zoo nrog Russia.

Iranian kws muaj txuj ci Minister hais txog mus rau tus thawj nom tswv pab pawg neeg. Raws li rau ntau Lavxias teb sab nom tswv kws tshuaj ntsuam, America yuav siv tau rau lub Lavxias teb sab counter-ntsuas thiab ncha moo tias peb lub teb chaws yog kev koom tes nrog rau cov Shiites tiv thaiv cov Sunnis.

Cov qhia tawm ntawm lub liam rau Russia

Ntau ntau lub luag hauj lwm rau dab tsi tshwm sim nyob rau hauv Iran lus dag nrog lub Kremlin. Moscow pib ceev mus ua ib daim ntawv qhia nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws tus nom tswv zoo nyob rau hauv muab tshiab los luj. Qhov tseeb hais tias hais txog Hamadan, Lavxias teb sab ua hauj lwm feem ntau wishful xav. Zog ntawm Guj kuj undoubtedly xav kom muaj ntau cov tub rog puag nyob rau hauv Iran, qhov uas nws tau txais kev pab lub Lavxias teb sab tub rog cov neeg ua, zoo li cov kws kho thiab tshwj xeeb nyob rau hauv lub teb ntawm aviation. Tab sis Tehran rau xws li ib eventuality yog kom meej meej tsis npaj txhij. Tus heev thought ntawm xws uas tau plunged ntau Iranian cov pej xeem nyob rau hauv chim heev.

Puas liam rau tus to taub yuam kev America?

Thaum Iran officially tshaj tawm tias Hamadan puag yuav tsis raug muab cob rau Russia, kev nom kev tswv kws txawj ntawm peb lub teb chaws tam sim ntawd pib mus blame rau dab tsi tau tshwm sim rau America. Kozhanov nom tswv paub txog ntseeg hais tias yog vim li cas yog txawv heev. Zog ntawm Guj kuj xav kom tau nyob rau hauv lub sab hnub tuaj ob Hmeymim txawm piv txwv tias yog tias cov puag yuav khiav lag luam nyob rau hauv lub txwv moj khaum. Lub Iranians sim tau tshem ntawm me me, muab lub Lavxias teb sab tub rog aircraft txoj cai sam roj thiab kho, tab sis tsis muaj ntau. Lub tswv yim airfields yuav tau yooj yim yuav muag rau tus Iranian pejxeem, tab sis ib tug tag nrho-fledged puag rau hauv kev muaj tiag tsis tshwm sim.

Raws li cov kws txawj nyob rau hauv lub teb ntawm txoj cai, Moscow yuav tsum tau luj cov pros thiab cons, muab lub tseem ntawm lub Iranian txoj cai thiab tsis tas rau koj tus kheej rau laj mej pej xeem hais tias peb lub teb chaws tsim ib tug tshiab huab cua puag. Tej nqe lus tau hnov los ntawm ib co Lavxias teb sab parliamentarians, tog twg los vim hais tias ntawm tsis to taub qhov teeb meem no, seb vim reigning zoo siab ntawm nom tswv yeej.

Yog vim li cas Russia lub politicians txiav txim siab los ua qhia tau meej heev rau daim card?

Raws li Sazhin, yog hais tias Russia tau txiav txim siab los npaj cov txiag ntawm nws cov tub rog aircraft nyob rau hauv Iran public relations phiaj los nqis tes, tshwm sim los ib nthwv dej ntawm discontent ntawm cov tub rog ua hauj lwm ntawm Iran.

Undoubtedly, nyob rau hauv lub hnub ntawm satellite nrhiav tej Lavxias teb sab xaiv yaam bomber, nce mus rau hauv cov huab cua, ib zaug yuav tau raug kaw, thiab kev tshawb kawm tau tham rau lub Pentagon thiab NATO lub tsev hauv paus.

Lavxias teb sab kws txawj ntseeg tau hais tias Lavxias teb sab fighters siv Hamadan, lawv paub tag nrho lub teb chaws, tab sis tsis muaj ib tug yuav hais dab tsi. Xws li ib tug teeb meem no yuav nplua ntau. peb lub teb chaws yuam kev cov lus dag nyob rau hauv lub fact tias cov tub ceev xwm yog ib yam nkaus thiab kaj thab muag khoom lub xub ntiag ntawm Lavxias teb sab pilots nyob rau hauv Iran. Nyob rau lwm cov tes, Iran tus txav yog tsis yog lawm. Ua ntej, nws tso cai rau cov xyaum? Ntawm aircraft, thiab ces dheev txwv tsis pub. Nws ua los ntawm kev Islamic lub xeev tau tshwm sim los zoo kev puas tsuaj rau cov duab ntawm Russia.

Yuav ua li cas cov neeg no hais txog qhov teeb meem los ntawm cov neeg sawv cev ntawm Lavxias teb sab generals

Raws li cov ex-Chief ntawm International koom tes Ministry ntawm kws muaj txuj ci Lavxias teb sab Colonel-General Leonid Ivashov, Hamadan Cua Base twb siv nyob rau hauv cov nruj moj khaum ntawm ib lub daim ntawv cog lus nruab nrab ntawm cov thawj tswj hwm ntawm Russia thiab Iran. Nws yuav tsis ncaj ncees lawm mus dhia mus rau cov lus xaus hais tias Russia siv cas Hamadan puag. Nws siv rau ob leeg txiav txim nrog Iran li airfields. Aircraft nqa tawm lawv cov tub rog kev pab raws qib thiab xa rov qab mus rau qhov chaw ntawm mus tas li txiag. Yog li ntawd, yog tsis muaj dab tsi ceeb nyob rau hauv lub fact tias cov kev siv ntawm lub hauv paus yog tshem tawm, tsis muaj. Raws li Colonel-General mus ntxiv bombers raws li nyob rau hauv Hamadan, muaj tsis muaj taw tes. Txawm lub sij hawm ntawm dislocation yuav tsum tau ib tug ntau ntawm cov nyiaj.

Raws li Ivashov, qhov tseeb hais tias Iran tau txais cov nqe lus ntawm lub Lavxias teb sab lawv bases raws li ib tug ua qauv qhia kev ua tau zoo yog fundamentally tsis ncaj ncees lawm. Qhov no txoj hauj lwm tshwm sim los ib co tsis to taub hais. Tab sis cov tub rog hais tias Iran muaj txoj cai yuav tsis txaus siab nrog rau pej xeem kev nthuav qhia ntawm lub xub ntiag ntawm Lavxias teb sab Videoconferencing rau lawv lub hauv paus.

Raws li yuav tshwm sim tom ntej no?

Nyob rau dab tsi yuav tig ntxiv tsim tau, nws yog heev yooj yim hais. Cov hauj lwm daim ntawv qhia ua los ntawm Larijani thiab cov lus teb cov nqe lus ntawm peb cov diplomats txhawb ib tug ncaj ncees npaum li cas ntawm optimism.

Raws li cov nom tswv paub txog Vladimir Sazhin, ib tug ntse demarche Iranian kws muaj txuj ci Minister Kremlin teb heev maj mam, piav qhia txog cov kev txiav ntawm Lavxias teb sab pilots muaj tias lub sij hawm siv Hamadan puag tau tso cai, txij thaum lub hom phiaj ntawm cov tub rog pilots tiav. Qhov no yog ib qho uas Moscow tsis yog yuav los lov tawm diplomatic kev sib raug zoo nrog Iran los yog sov ua licas lawv paug. Txawm tias undoubtedly ib tug unpleasant aftertaste zaj dab neeg no yuav nyob twj ywm nyob rau hauv ob lub teb chaws.

Raws li kws txawj, ib tug tseem ceeb feem rau txoj kev loj hlob ntawm ob sab sib dho kev sib raug zoo ntawm lub teb chaws ntawm no qhov teeb meem yuav tsis. Tam sim no, peb lub teb chaws muaj kev koom nrhiav txoj kev los tsim kom muaj tiv tauj nrog Iran. Cov tau expanding cov tub rog txoj kev koom tes nrog rau cov Islamic lub xeev. Yuav ua li cas yuav lub kev sib raug zoo Russia-Iran? Hamadan puag tej zaum yuav siv los ntawm Lavxias teb sab pab tub rog nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej raws li ib tug qhov chaw ntawm ib ntus dislocation.

Tam sim no, Iran tus Foreign Ministry muab sau tseg tias kev siv ntawm Hamadan twb raug txiav lub hom phiaj uas ua kom tiav. Official tus neeg sawv cev Bahram Ghasemi yog tsis cais tias cov Lavxias teb sab pilots nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej yuav tsum tau departures ntawm Iran, tab sis txhua yam yuav nyob ntawm seb cov kev teeb meem nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws.