Qhov zoo tshaj plaws sib qhia. Yuav ua li cas yog ib tug reversal ntawm tus qauv qhia?

Hais txog 80% Forex lag luam traders raug kev txom nyem piam sij tshwm sim los ntawm tsis yog ua phem los ntawm lawv thaum ua kev txiav txim siab. Tsis cuab yeej ntawm nyiaj txiag tsom xam los yog kev txawj ntse yuav tsum tau mus txhais cov kev tshwm sim, tej yam nyob rau hauv lub rationality ntawm lawv kev txiav txim. Tsis tas li ntawd, ib tug ntau yam ntawm txoj kev kev tsom xam ntawm lub txiaj ua lag luam yuav ua tau ruam tag mus rau lub novice investor.

Kev Analysis cuab yeej

Yuav kom nkag siab txog cov puab ntawm qhov kev ua lag luam yuav pab tau kom zoo cov ntaub ntawv tsom xam cov cuab yeej, xws li kev ntsuas ntawm kev sib hloov sawv tawm. Lawv aim yog muaj kev cuam tshuam tiam sis nyob rau hauv lub muaj zog ntawm lub txiaj ua lag luam nqi. sib qhia yuav qhia nws cov kev taw qhia (upward, downward thiab sab), thiab tig lub hwj chim. Muaj cov nram qab no indexes:

• sib qhia;
• torque los yog ib tug tus nqi ntawm lub yav dhau los lub sij hawm mus rau lub tam sim no tus nqi;
• volatility los yog pauv tus nqi volatility;
• trading volume;
• kev pab txhawb nqa thiab kuj.

sib indices

Qhov zoo tshaj plaws kev ntsuas ntawm kev sib nram qab no:

• tsiv Salaries (Engl tsiv Salaries, MA.), yooj yim SMA, EMA thiab exponential weighted WMA;
• convergence-divergence tsiv nruab nrab MACD (Engl. MA convergence / divergence)
• TRIX (English Learners EMA, triple EMA.);
• directional tsab ntawv tsa suab (DX);
• Intermediate DX (ADX);
• qhia ntawm tus qauv kab ;
• Khoom muag Channel (CCI);
• Parabolic SAR (Eng nres & thim rov qab, tso tseg thiab rov qab.);
• SMI (. English ntse nyiaj Performance index, lub Performance index ntawm "ntse nyiaj");
• Vortex (Vortex qhov taw qhia, VI);
• Ichimoku sib qhia.

Sib indices pab mus pauv nyob rau hauv nws cov kev taw qhia, thaum tswj ntev txaus qhia nyob rau hauv ib tug uptrend thiab luv luv rau lub downlink. Lub disadvantage ntawm tej cim no yog qhov kev ncua nyob rau ntawm lub lub sij hawm ntawm reversal ntawm lub lag luam sib.

lub sij hawm cov lis dej num

Qeeb yuav zam tau los ntawm kev siv lub sij hawm ntsuas. Lawv pab teem caij rau cov hoob kawm ntawm ib tug tig txog lub sab los yog sab sauv txwv ntawm cov kab rov tav sib channel, thaum lub khoom ntxiv mus thiab re-purchase. Lub disadvantage ntawm lub hnub ntsuas yog ntxov ntxov tswb muag nyob rau loj hlob sib ntawm yuav thiab thaum ntog. Cov no yog cov indicators:

• stochastic;
• quab yuam (Engl quab yuam index, FI.);
• muaj tseeb hwj chim (English tseeb zog index, tsi.);
• Tus kwv tij lub zog (Eng. Txheeb ze yog lub zog Performance index, lub RSI) ;
• limiting (Engl kawg oscillator, UOS.);
• nyiaj ntsuab flow (English nyiaj txaus index, MFI.);
• Williams feem pua ntau (Engl. Williams% R,% R).

Tseem muaj puas siab puas ntsws Forex indices: ib daim ntawv cog lus yuav ua tau kom players (eng bullish kev pom zoo.), Tus koom tes ntawm lub Performance index (English cov lus cog tseg traders, cot.), Rau kev ntsuam xyuas tag nrho cov teeb meem no nyob rau hauv kev ua lag luam, nws nyiam lub caij nplooj zeeg los yog sawv nyob rau hauv tus nqi.

sib thiab lub sij hawm cov lis dej num feem ntau tsis phim lub forecasts. Piv txwv li, rau ntev-lub sij hawm kev loj hlob nqi ntawm tus qauv qhia ntawm lub nce, muab ib tug yuav teeb liab. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm lub sij hawm ntawm oscillators muab ib lub teeb liab re-purchase, muab muag. Tus txheem teeb meem no yog cai nyob rau hauv ib tug ntev lub sij hawm ntawm ntog nqi, raws li tus qauv qhia ntog, muab ib tug muag teeb liab. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm ntsuas ntawm tus nqi hloov kom hais rau yuav.

sib zog qhia

Force loj hlob sib yuav kwv yees nws cov ntim, kev taw qhia thiab cov nyob deb. Thaum lub kaw tus nqi siab tshaj yav dhau los, lub dag lub zog ntawm cov qauv yog zoo. Thiab vice versa. Qhov ntau dua tus nqi ntawm kev hloov, lub zog qhov sib. sib zog qhia yog xam raws li cov khoom ntawm kev sib txawv thiab lub xeem yav dhau los tus nqi ntawm kaw rau cov kev pauv volume. Yog li, lub strengthening ntawm tus qauv txiav txim los ntawm qhov kev nce rau hauv tus nqi los yog trading volume. Nws yog hom twg los ntawm -100% mus rau 100%.

RSI qhia

RSI Tus kwv tij lub zog qhia yog xam raws li tus piv ntawm cov tsiv nruab nrab ntawm zoo hloov nyob rau kaw tus nqi rau lub sij hawm mus rau lub sum ntawm tsiv Salaries ntawm zoo thiab tsis zoo hloov nyob rau hauv tus nqi qub multiplied by 100. Thaum nce ib tug Performance index nqi ntawm 100%, qhov taw qhia pib ntsais koj teeb ib overbought txiaj thiab rau 0% - rau nws oversold. Extremum ntawm lub teeb ntawm lub Performance index, kev coj rov qab ntawm cov nqi zog - ib tug qauv reversal qhia. Conversely, yog hais tias tus ascending sib ntawm tus nqi daim ntawv qhia tau hais tias ib tug tshiab high school, thiab lub Performance index yog tsis tau hloov, nws yuav tsum tig nyob rau hauv kev coj rov qab. Yuav kom txiav txim sib hloov mus rau lub teeb zaub yuav tsum muaj ntaub ntawv duab kev tsom xam. Tsis tas li ntawd ib tug qauv reversal teeb liab yog convergence thiab divergence qhia daim ntawv thiab tus nqi - tus nqi yuav tsum tau nyob rau hauv cov kev taw qhia ntawm cov txheeb ze zog index.

Piv txwv li, ib tug tub luam nkag mus rau ib tug ntev txoj hauj lwm, yog tias muaj ntau dua MA50 MA200, ib tug 3-hnub RSI ntog hauv qab no tus nqi ntawm 20%, uas qhia oversold. Conversely, tus tub luam nkag mus rau ib tug luv luv, yog hais tias MA50 thiab MA200 hauv qab no RSI3 ntawm lub nce saum toj no ib tug predetermined qib 80%, cim tias seb thaum lub txiaj perekuplennosti.

MACD qhia

MACD sib qhia yog ua rau qhov txawv ntawm qhov exponential mus nruab nrab me me thiab loj lub sij hawm. Feem ntau siv 12 thiab 26 hnub mus. Thaum cov kev sib tshuam ma txiav txim rau cov kev sib hloov nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm txawv sij hawm, thiab qhov kev ncua deb thiab txheeb ze txoj hauj lwm - lub stability ntawm lub uptrend los yog downtrend. Rho ntawm lub luv luv-term mus oscillator muab ntev, kom meej meej yuav siv sij hawm mus rau hauv tus account cov nta. Cov qhov taw qhia yog ib yam kev soj ntsuam ntawm ob tug nrim.

Muaj yog ib tug bar graph thiab ib tug kab MACD-taw qhia.

Histogram MACD qhia xam los ntawm cov mis: MACD = EMA ₉ [A], qhov twg A = ₁₂ EMA [i] - EMA ₂₆ [i], qhov twg kuv - tus nqi.

Muaj 3 hom Pib ntsais koj teeb :

• dua lub siab tshaj plaws los yog yam tsawg kawg nkaus MACD yog ib lub teeb liab uas yuav tsum tau teb rau hauv cov kev npaj ntawm ob peb ntxiv;
• MACD hla lub cim yog lub hauv paus rau cov lus qhib txoj hauj lwm;
• MACD crosses rau hauv nruab nrab kuj yuav tsum tau ntxiv Pib ntsais koj teeb.

Pib ntsais koj teeb lees tias Pib ntsais koj teeb MACD-Histogram yog ntim indicators. Nws kuj qhia rau tos rau cov kev hloov nyob rau hauv lub chav kawm ntawm lub forecast kev taw qhia.

Tawm MACD muaj smoothed thiab tsis smoothed A. Cov kab rov hais dua cov muaj zog ntawm lub chav kawm.

Cov kev tshuam ntawm lub 12-hnub 26-hnub kab los ntawm sab saum toj mus rau nram qab muag teeb liab, hauv qab-up - nyob rau hauv ib tug purchase.

Tus nqi ntawm 12-hnub kab nram qab no qhov tsawg kawg nkaus los yog nyiaj pab ntau tshaj ntawm ib tug ceeb toom yuav tsum qhia txog cov MACD kab sib tshuam.

Cov kev tshuam ntawm lub linear MACD qhov tseem ceeb uas ib thaj tsam yuav tsum tau tsis tsawg tshaj li ob lees paub Pib ntsais koj teeb.

Qhov taw qhia yuav tsum tau siv nyob rau hauv cov kab kos tsawg kawg txhua hnub. Yuav ho ncua.

Parabolic SAR

Parabolic lub SAR, thaum tus nqi thaum koj hloov lub sib ntawm lub lag luam yog nkag mus rau ib tug tshiab huab nqi, hloov cov MA nres lub ciam teb rau lwm rau short-term (los ntawm 50 mus rau 5 hnub), thiab tso tseg thiab rov qab kawg fits nyob rau hauv nrog tus qauv. Cov qhov taw qhia raws li cov qauv rau cov kev tshuam SAR theem nrog lub kaw ntawm lub tam sim no txoj hauj lwm thiab qhib cov lus rov.

Tus nqi yog sib npaug zos rau lub yav dhau los yam tsawg kawg nkaus (nyiaj pab ntau tshaj) tus nqi. SAR yog ces xam raws li nram no: SAR _{n + 1} = SARp + AF (M - SAR n), qhov chaw uas:

• SAR _{n + 1} - ib tug nres nqi ntawm lub qhib txoj hauj lwm,
• SAR _n - SAR yog yav dhau los lub sij hawm,
• AF - acceleration, ua los ntawm 0,02 mus 0,02 thaum tus nqi ntawm cov nqi M.
• M - tus tshiab tshaj plaws (yam tsawg kawg nkaus) tus nqi.

Lub Parabolic system yog siv rau kev txiav txim kaw txoj hauj lwm thiab qhib hauj lwm.

Khoom muag Channel qhia

Khoom muag Channel qhia - ib qho kev ntsuas ntawm mem tes nqi thiab yog xam raws li lub quotient qhov txawv nyob rau hauv nqe thiab nws tsiv nruab nrab ntawm cov tsis hloov cov nqi khoo los ntawm cov txo coefficient.

_{- CCI = (P n - SMA} (P n)) / 0,015D, wherein:

• P _n - tus raug nqi;
• SMA (P _n) - tsiv nruab nrab ntawm raug nqi;
• D - nruab nrab tsis txawv ntawm qhov nruab nrab tus nqi thiab SMA.

CCI qhov tseem ceeb sib txawv nyob rau hauv ntau ntawm +/- 100. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm siab tshaj 100 qhia ib tug overbought txiaj thiab -100 - oversold thiab yog ib qho taw qhia ntawm ib tug qauv reversal.

Nws yog ntseeg hais tias cov tawm los ntawm tus ciam teb 100 yog tsis random thiab tsim lub sij hawm rau ib tug deal. Muas CCI yuav tsum nyob rau hauv excess ntawm 100, thiab muag thaum lub Performance index mus down hauv qab no 100. Cov qhib luv luv txoj hauj lwm yog pom zoo nrog rau cov CCI index qhov tseem ceeb tsawg tshaj li -100 thiab kaw - -100.

indicators MA

Tsiv Salaries yog yooj yim, qhov hnyav thiab exponential.

Tej yam yooj yim MA sau raws nkaus Ii mus rau lub xam nqi nruab nrab rau lub sij hawm.

Qhov no yog qhov nyuaj thiab feem ntau nrov qhia hais tias qhia tau hais tias sib. Piv txwv li, lub 200-hnub SMA rau xyoo tau ib tug nrov thiab zoo lus Forex tsom xam lub cuab tam. Nws yog xam los ntawm summing lub kaw tus nqi rau lub 200-hnub lub sij hawm thiab faib los ntawm tus xov tooj ntawm hnub nws. Tshuaj ntsuam yooj yim zog muab xam, composing kaw 40 lub lim piam ntawm kev kawm thiab faib lub txiaj ntsim los ntawm 40.

Yuav kom xam tom ntej no tus nqi MA yog tsim nyog los rho tus nqi ntawm cov kev kawm lub kaw ntawm lub 40-lub lim tiam-laus, ntxiv lub xeem kaw npaum li cas thiab faib los ntawm 40.

Cov kev tshuam ntawm cov kab MA ua periodicity tso cai rau peb kom peb xam lub sij hawm ntawm ib tug qauv reversal. Piv txwv li, cov kev tshuam taw tes SMA9 SMA14 thiab pib ntsais koj teeb ib tug kev hloov nyob rau hauv kev sib.

Lub disadvantage - ib qhov kev ncua tseg, thiab nws zoo dua yog qhov yooj yim thiab rab peev xwm los siv SAM kab li kev pab txhawb nqa thiab kuj kab.

Performance index WMA

Qhov hnyav Salaries rau txhua tus nqi lub sij hawm, muab qhov hnyav, uas txo nrog qhov kev ncua deb ntawm qhov tam sim no hnub:

- WMA = 2Σ (ni) P ti / (n (n + 1)), qhov chaw uas:

• P _ti - Tus nqi ntawm lub sij hawm, mus rau ib tug tej thaj chaw deb kuv Team sib ntawm qhov tam sim no;
• n - tus naj npawb ntawm cov Team sib.

Muab ntau qhov hnyav rau cov tom qab kev kawm, ntseeg tau tias yuav ntau tshaj li tus SMA. Rau ntev lub sij hawm ntawm kev siv SMA, thiab rau luv luv (tsawg tshaj li ib teev) - WMA los yog EMA.

Performance index EMA

Exponential nruab nrab yog tseem xam uas yog muab tes taw hnyav li nqi, noj mus rau hauv tus account tag nrho cov kev kawm yav dhau los lub sij hawm:

- EMA EMA _t = _t-1 + (K [Pt - EMA _t-1]), qhov chaw uas:

• K = 2 / (n + 1), nyob qhov twg n - qhov nruab nrab lub sij hawm.

Yog li ntawd tus nkhaus yog smoothed tsiv nruab nrab nyob rau hauv cov hoob kawm.

Nyob rau 1 hoob kawm kev hloov MA teb ob zaug - nyob rau hauv kev txais tos thiab poob-tawm qhov tseem ceeb. EMA reacts ib zaug qhov kev npaj ntawm cov hoob kawm, ua rau nws lub nyiam qhia. EMA kuj tso cai rau koj mus qhib txoj haujlwm thaum lub sij hawm.

Qhov tsom xam yuav tsum nrhiav cov kev tshuam ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm cov hoob kawm thiab lub sij hawm, nrhiav ib tug taw tes tom qab lub siab tshaj plaws los yog yam tsawg kawg nkaus rau nruab nrab, lub siab tshaj plaws divergence MA thiab tus nqi. Tsis tas li ntawd, ua raws li cov kev taw qhia ntawm qhov ntsuas MA, uas qhia cov kev taw qhia ntawm qhov sib.

stochastic oscillator

Stochastic oscillator yog ib qho taw qhia ntawm tus nqi ntawm tus nqi hloov. Xam tus piv ntawm cov sib txawv ntawm qhov tam sim no kaw nqi P _t thiab qhov tsawg kawg nkaus tus nqi rau lub sij hawm L _n n rau qhov txawv ntawm lub siab tshaj plaws thiab yam tsawg kawg nkaus H _n L _n nqi lub sij hawm khoo los ntawm 100%:

-% K = 100 _{(P t -u n) / (} H n -u n).

Peb-hnub mus nruab nrab ntawm lub xeem peb tseem ceeb ntawm cov% K yog xam raws li nram no:

-% D = 100 ((K ₁ + K ₂ + K ₃₎ / 3).

Dhau li tej yam yooj yim nruab nrab tej zaum yuav siv tau, thiab exponential, thiab cov weighted nruab nrab.

Qhov taw qhia los ntawm muab pov tseg qub ntaub ntawv tej zaum yuav hloov dheev, uas ua rau yus pub instability thiab tsis yog teeb. Yog li ntawd, yog tias ib tug muaj tseeb qhia ntawm tus qauv yog yuav tsum tau, qhov no oscillator yog tsis zoo tshaj plaws kev xaiv.

Thaum divergence% K npaum li cas thiab xav kom ib tug qauv reversal. Yog hais tias tus nqi nce mus txog ib tug tshiab uas tsis muaj nyiaj pab ntau tshaj% K, nws yuav tsum hais tias lub downward sib yuav hloov upward. Conversely, yog hais tias tus pauv tus nqi nce mus txog ib tug tsawg kawg nkaus, thiab cov% K yog tsis tam sim no, nws yog tsim nyog los txais ib reversal ntawm lub chav kawm ntawm lub sib upwards.

Lub teeb liab mus rau yuav yog ib tug sawv ntawm% K saum toj no lub% D, thiab rau cov muag khoom -% K ntog hauv qab no lub% D. Raws li tus tsim tawm, ntau txhim khu kev qha teeb liab yog hais tias tus% D% K hla mus tau muab nyob rau hauv cov kev taw qhia ntawm cov tshiab sib. Qhov tseem txhim khu kev qha muas Pib ntsais koj teeb muaj nyob rau hauv cov kab 10-15% thiab muag Pib ntsais koj teeb nyob rau hauv lub cheeb tsam ntawm 85-90%.

Cov qhov taw qhia ntawm ib tug qauv reversal tsis zas xim tshiab

Lub algorithm rau xam cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm siv ntsuas. Txhua tshiab nqi tuskheej thawj nqi muab xam lub sij hawm. Txawm qhov zoo tshaj plaws kev ntsuas ntawm tus qauv, suav tus nqi ntawm cov tshiab keeb kwm, muaj peev xwm hloov tau lawv lub yav dhau los qhov tseem ceeb. Qhov kev hloov no nyob rau hauv tus nqi thaum tshiab cov ntaub ntawv yog hu ua redraw zaub.

Cov nyhuv no yog pom nyob rau hauv feem ntau ntawm cov Forex index, li ntawd, yuav txo tau cov kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov kev pauv yuav tsum tau ib tug reversal ntawm tus qauv qhia tsis redrawing.

Tsis muaj redrawing yeej ib txwm yuav tsum tau ntawm nws tus kheej qhia tau tseeb vim lub fact tias cov kab lus "tsis muaj redraw" tau tej chaw thiab yog siv tsis tau txaus thaj av developers ntawm dawb thiab them nqi raws li ntsuas mus thab muag khoom lawv cov khoom.

Ua check tsis tuaj kawm ntawv ntawm redrawing yuav ua tau visually nyob rau hauv ob txoj kev:

• saib xyuas cov qhov taw qhia ntawm ib tug luv luv sij hawm;
• siv rau lub sij hawm M30 thiab mus txog rau accelerate lub txheej txheem ntawm kev soj ntsuam cov software trading platform uas yuav leeb lub sij hawm nrhiav qhia.

Cov qhov taw qhia ntawm ib tug qauv reversal tsis zas xim tshiab - ib qho kev nthuav thiab muaj txiaj ntsim kev tsom xam lub cuab tam, tab sis koj yuav tsum dais nyob rau hauv lub siab hais tias pleev xim yog tsis ib txwm ib tug disadvantage. Nws yog ib lub txim ntawm kev hloov nyob rau hauv kev ua lag luam qhov teeb meem no, thiab qhov "poob" teeb liab yuav ua tau cuav.

Williams fractals yog ib qho piv txwv ntawm dab tsi tej zaum yuav pab tau redrawing. Thaum qhov taw qhia yuav tsum tau tos rau kabke yog fractal muaj xws li 5 taws tswm ciab, ces cov kev sib pauv yog pom zoo kom qhib nws tsis redrawing tom ntej no ob taws tswm ciab. Ib tug sib qhia tsis muaj redrawing tsis pub cov tub luam ntawm xws li ib tug lub cuab tam, los yog kom muab rau nws ib tug dag siab ntawm kev cia siab rau, ua rau losses.